Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.008032 0.009397 0.011025 0.013138 0.015854 0.019292 0.024083
2025-10-05 0.006638 0.008402 0.010762 0.014266 0.019564 0.027703 0.042163
2025-10-12 0.005711 0.007598 0.010318 0.014752 0.022316 0.035914 0.066106
2025-10-19 0.004936 0.006793 0.009613 0.014531 0.023732 0.042552 0.093783
2025-10-26 0.004435 0.006282 0.009216 0.014653 0.025738 0.051522 0.139515
2025-11-02 0.003981 0.005763 0.008695 0.014390 0.026853 0.059275 0.197142
2025-11-09 0.003526 0.005179 0.007961 0.013545 0.026387 0.062666 0.247212
2025-11-16 0.003176 0.004726 0.007389 0.012893 0.026154 0.066738 0.316606
2025-11-23 0.002990 0.004524 0.007235 0.013066 0.028048 0.079566 0.514029
2025-11-30 0.002777 0.004253 0.006913 0.012808 0.028709 0.088719 0.766003
2025-12-07 0.002565 0.003965 0.006525 0.012325 0.028574 0.094674 1.071391
2025-12-14 0.002415 0.003772 0.006298 0.012174 0.029405 0.106460 1.803175
2025-12-21 0.002323 0.003690 0.006307 0.012668 0.032824 0.139827 6.502890
2025-12-28 0.002284 0.003704 0.006520 0.013753 0.039155 0.212700 406.690250
2026-01-04 0.002196 0.003614 0.006498 0.014215 0.043566 0.293203 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002068 0.003435 0.006257 0.014005 0.045031 0.353145 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001975 0.003316 0.006136 0.014121 0.048199 0.465608 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001868 0.003160 0.005911 0.013871 0.049437 0.563300 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001738 0.002947 0.005532 0.013067 0.047267 0.571600 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001629 0.002771 0.005226 0.012447 0.045878 0.600141 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001575 0.002702 0.005165 0.012611 0.049237 0.834520 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001502 0.002591 0.004992 0.012366 0.049981 1.006788 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001424 0.002463 0.004766 0.011906 0.049105 1.100966 NaN